Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.107949 2.218831 2.337753 2.475790 2.632941 2.807975 3.020160
2025-06-29 1.978990 2.120617 2.278876 2.471504 2.703596 2.979929 3.343548
2025-07-06 1.862876 2.018357 2.196649 2.420529 2.701009 3.051594 3.543586
2025-07-13 1.815234 1.988108 2.191503 2.455200 2.799611 3.254251 3.943646
2025-07-20 1.791407 1.982212 2.212321 2.520276 2.940199 3.528611 4.506772
2025-07-27 1.744245 1.943642 2.188277 2.523178 2.994644 3.686709 4.930094
2025-08-03 1.703644 1.910131 2.167346 2.526757 3.047977 3.848450 5.408661
2025-08-10 1.640272 1.844551 2.100899 2.462738 2.995384 3.832864 5.540337
2025-08-17 1.601541 1.808447 2.070782 2.446396 3.011340 3.931014 5.942472
2025-08-24 1.567383 1.776574 2.044333 2.432855 3.029296 4.033976 6.399843
2025-08-31 1.537265 1.748591 2.021505 2.422556 3.050564 4.145200 6.936165
2025-09-07 1.520567 1.737296 2.020362 2.443158 3.122687 4.363614 7.927478
2025-09-14 1.471076 1.682202 1.958560 2.372664 3.041698 4.275209 7.911844
2025-09-21 1.447209 1.660313 1.941597 2.368276 3.071634 4.418342 8.851977
2025-09-28 1.410805 1.620551 1.898285 2.321562 3.024794 4.391683 9.110549
2025-10-05 1.402072 1.617516 1.906004 2.353087 3.117195 4.688431 11.312740
2025-10-12 1.402311 1.626420 1.930690 2.412266 3.266137 5.163968 16.666511
2025-10-19 1.385528 1.611429 1.920372 2.414879 3.309539 5.389986 22.319992
2025-10-26 1.369861 1.597452 1.910894 2.418119 3.354298 5.635419 34.615275
2025-11-02 1.337448 1.559511 1.865267 2.359866 3.272104 5.491187 33.121819
2025-11-09 1.318657 1.540095 1.846297 2.344969 3.276273 5.611282 51.533711
2025-11-16 1.301441 1.522450 1.829370 2.332618 3.284507 5.748065 145.707146
2025-11-23 1.285801 1.506632 1.814646 2.323219 3.297985 5.907972 NaN